Sunday , February 28 2021

Coronavirus a year later: how long has the previous epidemic lasted?-BBC News in Serbian



Pink coronavirus particles

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The first case of coronavirus infection was recorded in Wuhan on November 17, exactly a year ago, according to undisclosed data from the Chinese government obtained by the South China Morning Post..

A year later, so far, nearly 55 million people worldwide have been infected, and about 1.13 million have died. 34.2 million people have recovered, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

Nothing in human history has killed as many people as disease-causing viruses, bacteria and parasites. It is not a natural disaster such as an earthquake or volcano.

It is neither war nor near.

In an interview with the BBC in Serbian, medical historian Vladimir Jovakovic said, “The history of medicine has recorded many epidemics, and as the population grows, most of them are becoming epidemics.”

“The biggest problem is that the virus is invisible. Microbes are ghosts to humans, and we have doctors who handle them. Microbes are giants older than humans.”

Perhaps looking at the history of the previous pandemic, you will see if kovid-19 will wait another year.


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Mass murderer

Microbes are older than us.

“The virus has devastated the world in China, Egypt and Mesopotamia,” Jokanovic says.

“The difference is that it wasn’t known that it was a virus at the time, because microscopes that could see the virus were only discovered in the 20th century.”

Over thousands of years, especially the epidemic, even in the era of coronavirus, it has served as a mass killer on a scale that we cannot understand today.

According to Jokanović, the plague expanded significantly during the Middle Ages as the number of inhabitants increased.

Justinian’s plague It appeared in the 6th century and killed 50 million people, which was half the world’s population at the time.

About 200 million people died of black deaths in the 14th century, believed to be caused by the same pathogen.

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As an example of another infectious disease, epidemiologist Zoran Radovanović also provides infectious diseases. cholera In Southeast Asia in the early 1960s, he said, “The metastasis is still being felt.”

HIV, An epidemic that continues to plague us and yet has no vaccine, has killed about 32 million people, infected 75 million, and that number is increasing every day.

Radovanovic added, “There is also an epidemic of the HIV virus that was recognized in 1981 and is now slowly stabilizing without a vaccine.”

There is also malaria, A disease transmitted by mosquitoes.

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Balkans virus

Among the plagues that are important to the Balkans people, Jokanović picks out epidemics in some countries where up to 50% of the population has died.

It has plagued humanity for thousands of years, and although the number of deaths has declined significantly over the past 20 years, it still takes almost 500,000 per year.

“Jovan Apostoloovich, the first Serbian doctor to complete his research in Germany, wrote about the last epidemic in Serbia,” says a medical historian.

“He lived in Novi Sad and didn’t have a job. When the epidemic appeared, they gave him a mission to fight it.”

The disease was added by Jokanović. “I had Srem, and at Irig, 80% of the population had an epidemic.”

“Thanks to Jokanovic, we bypassed Backa because Jokanovic put the city in quarantine,” he says.

There is also TuberculosisAdded the historian of, killed 300,000 people in the Balkans.

goddess Despite the fact that the world’s first effective vaccine has emerged since 1796, they have killed 300 million people.

Between 50 and 100 million people died in 1918. An epidemic of pneumonia -The number of casualties exceeded the number of deaths in World War I, which lasted at that time.

In 1918, a third of the planet was infected with the flu virus.

Infectious disease scholar Zoranado Vanovic told the BBC in Serbian that “the most similar pandemic to the previous pandemic is the Spanish fever after World War I.”

“Of course, more people died at that time. At least 50 million people died, but because there was no antibiotics and there was a great famine, people died, but even after that, the whole world was affected and the global economy suffered.”

Spanish flu

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The Spanish flu in 1918 killed 50 to 100 million people worldwide, including victims from St. Louis, Missouri.

Endemic, not infectious

Throughout the numerous travels, the culture of popular communication and the modern way of life are closely related to viruses, Jokanović says.

However, Radovanovic believes that the coronavirus will reach endemic levels.

“I believe the coronavirus will be like the Spanish flu is rampant,” he added.

“Natural disease means that the disease remains among people, but it is much easier to control.”

With prognosis, epidemiologists give the spring of 2022 until reaching the epidemic level.

This means that coronavirus can live in this form and be dangerous among people over the next two years.


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If you have breathing problems, call 19819 or call one of the health department’s recommended phone numbers on the Kovid19 website.


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